Every so often we will hear a concern that another housing bubble is forming.
To help answer that question it’s valuable to look at the reasons that caused the last one.
There were three main drivers of the bubble that burst in 2008:
- Easy Credit – loans were very easy to attain
- Over-Leverage – people were using their homes at ATM’s
- Over-Supply – too many new homes were being built
Now, let’s compare that to today:
- Stricter Credit – the average home buyer today has a FICO score of 755
- High Equity – collectively, U.S. homeowners have $19 Trillion of equity in their homes and collective mortgage debt has not increased for 13 years
- Under-Supply – today we are building only two-thirds of the new homes being built in 2004 yet the population is much higher
Given this healthy information, we don’t see another housing bubble forming today.
If you would like to see a video recap of our annual Market Forecast you can watch that HERE.
When was the last time you rode a see-saw?? (some people call it a teeter-totter.) Our market right now reminds me of when my little sister and I would try to ride one. There she was stuck up in the air and there I was stuck on the ground (I was a big kid!)
Here’s the deal- a market is “balanced” when there is 6 months of inventory for sale. Meaning it would take 6 months to sell out everything on the market assuming nothing new came on the market.
But wait! There’s more to the story! Taking a closer look at specific price ranges reveals that under $250,000 there is a two-week supply! And over $700,000 there is a 6.5 month supply.
If you want to see how to do this, give us a call!