We’ve seen some headlines recently that suggest home prices along the Front Range have peaked and are starting to decline.
When we dig in and do the research, this is what we find…
Home prices are still going up, just not as fast as they have been.
We’ve known that the double-digit appreciation that we’ve seen for the last several years could not be sustained and we expected the pace of appreciation to slow down.
So far in 2019, this is the case. Prices still going up, just not as fast.
It’s like running up stairs. Eventually you will get tired and you will need to start walking (but you’re still going up).
Headlines that suggest that prices have peaked and are falling create unrealistic expectations for buyers and give sellers a skewed perspective on the market.
Here are the numbers…
- Up 1.53% in Metro Denver
- Up 6.1% in Larimer County
- Up 5.1% in Weld County
Months of Inventory:
- 5 Months in Metro Denver
- 5 Months in Larimer County
- 4 Months in Weld County
- (Remember that 4-6 months of inventory represents a balanced market)
There has been an increase in Days on Market which means that homes are taking longer to sell. But the increase is measured in days, not months.
Here are those numbers…
Days on Market:
- Up 4 Days in Metro Denver
- Up 11 Days in Larimer County
- Up 3 Days in Weld County
So, be mindful of headlines that can be sensationalized and might suggest that the market is falling.
Bottom line, the market is going up, just not as fast as it was.
Pretend that customer walks into our office and tells us they are looking for a single family home in Fort Collins. We would tell them that there are 314 to choose from. But if they told us their price range is up to $300,000, their choices would be limited to just 10 homes.
Single family homes priced under $300,000 only represent 3.18% of the total inventory in Fort Collins. This is a big reason why buyers are opening up their search to communities that surround Fort Collins.
Here’s a snapshot of the major Northern Colorado markets:
- Loveland: 176 Homes For Sale/15 Priced Under $300,000
- Windsor: 151 Homes For Sale/6 Priced Under $300,000
- Greeley: 98 Homes For Sale/33 Priced Under $300,000
- Fort Collins: 314 Homes For Sale/10 Priced Under $300,000
Last week Windermere’s Chief Economist Matthew Gardner joined us for our annual Market Forecast events in Colorado. We were pleased to host over 500 customers at two events in Denver and Fort Collins.
Here are some of the big takeaways that we shared:
- Interest rates will increase to 4.6% by the end of the year
- First-time buyers are back and will make up 47% of all buyers in 2017
- Inventory will remain at record lows and will continue to drive up prices
- Appreciation is expected to be between 9% and 7% across our Front Range markets
- Home builders will get creative in order to hit lower price points – we will see more “tiny homes” and more homes without basements
Here are some fun “Did You Know?” stats as we wrap up 2016 (arguably one of the most fascinating years in the history of Northern Colorado Real Estate)
- This year the median price of a home surpassed…
- $350,000 in Fort Collins
- $300,000 in Loveland
- $250,000 in Greeley
- 2,281 homes were sold in Fort Collins this year
- That’s 133 fewer than last year
- Windsor had 197 more home sales than last year
- The only major market with considerably more sales than 2015
- Today, as we finish 2016, there are only 10 single family homes on the market in Fort Collins priced under $300,000.
Check out what’s happening in the multi-family market in Fort Collins.
The number of condos and townhomes for sale is way down compared to last year. 35% fewer new listings hit the market in November 2016 versus November 2015.
Of course that means prices are up, 15% to be exact. The average price for multi-family in Fort Collins is now at $282,000.
Who would have thought that one day the average price for a condominium or townhome in Fort Collins would be $300,000? Well, that’s close to being a reality.
Waiting for spring to think about selling your house?
You might want to think twice… Check out this video to discover 10 reasons to sell your house this holiday season!
For Immediate Release
Denver, COLO. (December 8, 2016) – Windermere Real Estate has just opened a new office in one of the fastest growing communities in Metro Denver. The new Aurora location, which is located in the Southlands shopping center, joins Windermere locations in Fort Collins, Centennial, and Denver. Windermere opened its first office in Colorado just two years ago and has plans to continue growing across the state over the next few years.
“We are very excited about our recent expansion into Southeast Aurora; the city is growing by leaps and bounds and we are happy to be part of this exciting growth,” said Vincent Grandi, co-owner and managing broker of the Windermere Aurora office. “One industry that has lacked a presence in the area is real estate, forcing many home buyers and sellers to search outside the area for a real estate agent. We are proud to now provide a local neighborhood office with experienced and knowledgeable agents who live and work in Aurora and have extensive knowledge of all that the city has to offer,” said Grandi who co-owns the Windermere Metro Denver and Aurora locations along with (insert all the owner’s names).
Grandi added that one of the best advantages of living and working in the city of Aurora is the vast diversity of its residents, “Aurora is a melting pot of many immigrants that have chosen to come from all over the globe to live and work. We’re proud to be part of this community and look forward to providing the best real estate experience to the residents of Aurora,” he said.
The office features a hip, fresh atmosphere, effective spaces for agent training and client meetings, and a rooftop deck.
“This location fits our strategy to serve home buyers and sellers all across the Front Range,” said Eric Thompson President of Windermere Real Estate in Colorado. “We are thrilled with the team at Windermere Metro Denver and their ability to offer an exceptional experience to both their agents and their customers. I’m excited to watch Windermere grow in Aurora.”
About Windermere Colorado:
Since its inception in 1972, Windermere Real Estate has grown to be a network of 300 offices with more than 6,000 agents by focusing on three basic principles: hire the best people, give them the best tools and create thriving communities. Windermere’s growth has allowed them to expand into the Colorado market led by Eric Thompson, President of Windermere Colorado. For more information, visit www.windermerecolorado.com.
About Windermere Real Estate
Windermere Real Estate is ranked the largest regional real estate company in the Western U.S. with over 300 offices and 6,000 agents serving communities in Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Mexico. Last year, Windermere closed over 86,000 home sales for more than $31.7 billion in dollar volume. The Windermere family has a proud heritage of serving our neighbors via the Windermere Foundation, which funds services for low-income and homeless families. Since 1989, the Windermere Foundation has contributed more than 32 million dollars towards improving lives in the communities where we live and work. For more information, visit www.windermere.com.
The City Manager for Fort Collins, Darin Atteberry, recently visited our weekly sales meeting. He had several interesting and valuable facts to share, including this…
Based on the City’s research, Fort Collins will grow by 100,000 people over the next 25 to 32 years. That will bring the population to approximately 255,000 people. It means Fort Collins will essentially add the equivalent of Boulder’s population over the next two and a half decades.
100,000 people will require 40,000 housing units. That equates to 1,600 new homes/apartments/condominiums/etc. per year for the next 25 years.
If you are curious where all of these people with live and how Fort Collins will accommodate them, join us at our Third Annual Market Forecast event on January 19th! Windermere’s Chief Economist, Matthew Gardner, is flying here all the way from Seattle to present to us along with Eric Thompson, president of Windermere Colorado. Just visit www.WindermereForecast.com to reserve your seat.